Estimasi Jarak Antara Waktu Kejadian Gelombang Pasang dan Abrasi di Indonesia dengan Pendekatan Kaplan-Meier

Authors

  • Nikmatul Aini Program Studi Statistika Universitas Hamzanwadi
  • Agustin Ayulia Rahman Program Studi Statistika Universitas Hamzanwadi
  • Maria Marianty Ngode Program Studi Statistika Universitas Hamzanwadi
  • Chandrawati Program Studi Statistika Universitas Hamzanwadi
  • Muhammad Gazali Program Studi Statistika Universitas Hamzanwadi

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29408/eksbar.v2i2.29130

Keywords:

Kaplan-Meier, Tidal waves, Abrasion

Abstract

This study aims to estimate the occurrence patterns of tidal waves and abrasion in Indonesia throughout 2024 using the Kaplan-Meier method. The main focus is on analyzing the time intervals between events to provide insights into coastal areas vulnerable to the impacts of these disasters. The data used were obtained from the National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB), consisting of records of tidal waves and abrasion events. The analysis results are expected to illustrate the frequency and distribution of events, assisting in disaster mitigation planning in coastal areas. This study does not address causative factors but rather focuses on the temporal patterns and distributions of these events. The findings are anticipated to help identify the most vulnerable coastal regions to tidal waves and abrasion impacts, enabling more targeted and data-driven mitigation efforts. This research offers valuable insights for developing effective disaster mitigation strategies, including early warning systems and improved coastal management. The close relationship between tidal waves and abrasion emphasizes the need for preventive measures, such as mangrove planting and controlling human activities in coastal areas.

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Published

2025-12-29

Issue

Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): Jurnal Eksbar

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Articles

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Copyright (c) 2025 Nikmatul Aini, Agustin Ayulia Rahman, Maria Marianty Ngode, Chandrawati, Muhammad Gazali

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