Forward Chaining Expert System for Optimizing Marketing Strategies in Social Commerce Platforms

Authors

  • Andhika Rudiansyah STMIK IM Bandung
  • Novi Rukhviyanti STMIK IM Bandung

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29408/edumatic.v10i1.34382

Keywords:

decision support system, expert system, forward chaining, marketing strategy, social commerce

Abstract

The complexity of digital performance indicators in social commerce environments poses significant challenges for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in formulating coherent and actionable marketing strategies. This study develops and evaluates a forward chaining based expert system to support structured, data driven, and interpretable marketing decision-making. A design science research methodology was employed, encompassing problem identification, artifact development, and evaluation. Knowledge was elicited through literature synthesis, expert consultation, and empirical observation, and subsequently formalized into IF–THEN production rules within a structured knowledge base. The system applies a forward chaining inference mechanism to process key indicators, including followers, engagement rate, promotion frequency, and conversion rate, in order to generate prioritized strategic recommendations. Evaluation was conducted using scenario-based testing and expert validation to assess accuracy, consistency, and contextual appropriateness. The results demonstrate complete alignment between system outputs and expert judgment across all evaluation scenarios, indicating high reliability and logical consistency of the rule-based reasoning process. The system also produces context-sensitive and interpretable recommendations aligned with varying levels of business performance. This study contributes by advancing rule-based decision support systems in social commerce and providing an explainable and practically applicable tool to enhance marketing decision quality among SMEs.

References

Akter, S., Michael, K., Uddin, M. R., McCarthy, G., & Rahman, M. (2022). Transforming business using digital innovations: The application of AI, blockchain, cloud and data analytics. Annals of Operations Research, 308(1), 7–39. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-020-03620-w

Alghamdi, N. A., & Al-Baity, H. H. (2022). Augmented analytics driven by AI: A digital transformation beyond business intelligence. Sensors, 22(20), 8071. https://doi.org/10.3390/s22208071

Allen, G. I., Gan, L., & Zheng, L. (2023). Interpretable machine learning for discovery: Statistical challenges and opportunities. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 11, 97-121. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-statistics-040120-030919

Almtiri, Z., Miah, S. J., & Noman, N. (2022). Impact of business analytics and decision support systems on E-commerce in SMEs. International Conference on Big Data Intelligence and Computing, 344-361. Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-2233-8_25

Attar, R. W., Almusharraf, A., Alfawaz, A., & Hajli, N. (2022). New trends in e-commerce research: Linking social commerce and sharing commerce: A systematic literature review. Sustainability, 14(23), 16024. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142316024

Dong, D., Fu, G., Li, J., Pei, Y., & Chen, Y. (2022). An unsupervised domain adaptation brain CT segmentation method across image modalities and diseases. Expert Systems with Applications, 207, 118016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.118016

Du, Y., Rafferty, A. R., McAuliffe, F. M., Wei, L., & Mooney, C. (2022). An explainable machine learning-based clinical decision support system for prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus. Scientific Reports, 12(1), 1170. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05112-2

Dwivedi, Y. K., Kshetri, N., Hughes, L., Slade, E. L., Jeyaraj, A., Kar, A. K., ... & Wright, R. (2023). Opinion Paper:“So what if ChatGPT wrote it?” Multidisciplinary perspectives on opportunities, challenges and implications of generative conversational AI for research, practice and policy. International journal of information management, 71, 102642. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2023.102642

Gunning, D., & Aha, D. (2019). DARPA’s explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) program. AI Magazine, 40(2), 44–58. https://doi.org/10.1609/aimag.v40i2.2850

Huang, M. H., & Rust, R. T. (2021). A strategic framework for artificial intelligence in marketing. Journal of the academy of marketing science, 49(1), 30-50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11747-020-00749-9

Islam, M. B., & Governatori, G. (2018). RuleRS: a rule-based architecture for decision support systems. Artificial Intelligence and Law, 26(4), 315–344. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10506-018-9218-0

Keshireddy, S. R. (2024). Intelligent Decision Support Systems in Management Information Systems Using Hybrid AI Models. Research Briefs on Information and Communication Technology Evolution, 10, 211–230. https://doi.org/10.64799/rebicte.v10.13

Kostopoulos, G., Davrazos, G., & Kotsiantis, S. (2024). Explainable artificial intelligence-based decision support systems: A recent review. Electronics, 13(14), 2842. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13142842

Kruschel, S., Hambauer, N., Weinzierl, S., Zilker, S., Kraus, M., & Zschech, P. (2026). Challenging the performance-interpretability trade-off: An evaluation of interpretable machine learning models. Business & Information Systems Engineering, 68(1), 159–183. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12599-024-00922-2

Kshetri, N., Hughes, L., louise Slade, E., Jeyaraj, A., kumar Kar, A., Koohang, A., Raghavan, V., Ahuja, M., Albanna, H., & ahmad Albashrawi, M. (2023). “So what if ChatGPT wrote it?” Multidisciplinary perspectives on opportunities, challenges and implications of generative conversational AI for research, practice and policy. International Journal of Information Management, 71, 102642. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12599-024-00922-2

Kumari, S., Venkatesh, V. G., Tan, F. T. C., Bharathi, S. V., Ramasubramanian, M., & Shi, Y. (2025). Application of machine learning and artificial intelligence on agriculture supply chain: a comprehensive review and future research directions. Annals of Operations Research, 348(3), 1573–1617. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-023-05556-3

Lee, M. T., Raschke, R. L., & Krishen, A. S. (2022). Signaling green! firm ESG signals in an interconnected environment that promote brand valuation. Journal of Business Research, 138, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2021.08.061

Li, W., Zhou, X., Yang, C., Fan, Y., Wang, Z., & Liu, Y. (2022). Multi-objective optimization algorithm based on characteristics fusion of dynamic social networks for community discovery. Information Fusion, 79, 110–123. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inffus.2021.10.002

Mohamed, A., Abdelqader, K., & Shaalan, K. (2025). Explainable Artificial Intelligence: A systematic review of progress and challenges. Intelligent Systems with Applications, 200595. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200595

Navin, K., & Krishnan, M. (2024). Fuzzy rule based classifier model for evidence based clinical decision support systems. Intelligent Systems with Applications, 22, 200393. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswa.2024.200393

Olan, F., Spanaki, K., Ahmed, W., & Zhao, G. (2025). Enabling explainable artificial intelligence capabilities in supply chain decision support making. Production Planning & Control, 36(6), 808-819. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537287.2024.2313514

Papadopoulos, P., Soflano, M., Chaudy, Y., Adejo, W., & Connolly, T. M. (2022). A systematic review of technologies and standards used in the development of rule-based clinical decision support systems. Health and Technology, 12(4), 713–727. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12553-022-00672-9

Pumplun, L., Peters, F., Gawlitza, J. F., & Buxmann, P. (2023). Bringing machine learning systems into clinical practice: a design science approach to explainable machine learning-based clinical decision support systems. Journal of the Association for Information Systems, 24(4), 953–979. https://doi.org/10.17705/1jais.00820

Punia, S., & Shankar, S. (2022). Predictive analytics for demand forecasting: A deep learning-based decision support system. Knowledge-Based Systems, 258, 109956. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2022.109956

Rai, A. (2020). Explainable AI: From black box to glass box. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 48(1), 137–141. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11747-019-00710-5

Rajagopal, N. K., Qureshi, N. I., Durga, S., Ramirez Asis, E. H., Huerta Soto, R. M., Gupta, S. K., & Deepak, S. (2022). Future of business culture: An artificial intelligence‐driven digital framework for organization decision‐making process. Complexity, 2022(1), 7796507. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/7796507

Rudin, C. (2019). Stop explaining black box machine learning models for high stakes decisions and use interpretable models instead. Nature Machine Intelligence, 1(5), 206–215. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-019-0048-x

Sabharwal, R., Miah, S. J., Wamba, S. F., & Cook, P. (2025). Extending application of explainable artificial intelligence for managers in financial organizations. Annals of Operations Research, 354(1), 309–339. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-05825-9

Tjoa, E., & Guan, C. (2020). A survey on explainable artificial intelligence (xai): Toward medical xai. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, 32(11), 4793–4813. https://doi.org/10.1109/TNNLS.2020.3027314

Volkmar, G. V. (2022). Managerial decisions in marketing: The individual perception of explainable artificial intelligence. Marketing and Smart Technologies: Proceedings of ICMarkTech 2021, 1, 15-21. Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-9268-0_2

Younis, H., Sundarakani, B., & Alsharairi, M. (2022). Applications of artificial intelligence and machine learning within supply chains: systematic review and future research directions. Journal of Modelling in Management, 17(3), 916–940. https://doi.org/10.1108/JM2-12-2020-0322

Zatnika, D., & Rukhviyanti, N. (2024). Penerapan metode forward chaining pada sistem pakar rekomendasi mobil second dari aspek penghasilan kerja. Jurnal Penelitian Inovatif, 4(4), 2463–2476. https://doi.org/10.54082/jupin.759

Zhang, K. Z. K., & Benyoucef, M. (2016). Consumer behavior in social commerce: A literature review. Decision Support Systems, 86, 95–108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2016.04.001

Zhao, W., Hu, F., Wang, J., Shu, T., & Xu, Y. (2023). A systematic literature review on social commerce: Assessing the past and guiding the future. Electronic Commerce Research and Applications, 57, 101219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.elerap.2022.101219

Downloads

Published

2026-04-28

How to Cite

Rudiansyah, A., & Rukhviyanti, N. (2026). Forward Chaining Expert System for Optimizing Marketing Strategies in Social Commerce Platforms. Edumatic: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika, 10(1), 270–279. https://doi.org/10.29408/edumatic.v10i1.34382